Thanks to Turkey, Russia will now fortify its defences in the Middle East.

What happens when you poke the bear with a stick?

At this point, the Russian Foreign minister has indicated that Russia “does not want to go to war with Turkey”.

HOWEVER, the crisis is far from over – Russia is beginning to hurt Turkey in other ways:

  • Russia’s Foreign Ministry has urged the country’s citizens to defer all travel to Turkey and advised all Russians currently in Turkey to depart as soon as possible.
  • Russia immediately deployed advanced air defence in Syria, placing herself in a far better defensive position from which to launch an invasion in future.
  • Instinctively, Russia begun bombarding Turkmen insurgents, who have ethnic ties to Turkey — ignoring demands made by Turkey over the past week to end its military operations close to the Turkish border.
  • Russia is planning and executing a range of economic sanctions against Turkey.
  • Russia is denying entry to Turkish citizens.
  • The Kremlin has arrested a number of Turkish businessmen in Russia.
  • Russian no longer considers Turkey to be an ally.

Its hard for anyone to see how this situation might de-escalate in the long term especially as this incident seems to be a symptom of a broader historical problem between the Russians and Turks.

Given the trail of prophetic fulfillment over the last few months who knows what might happen next. We await in anticipation!

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Putin threatens a Military Coup in Turkey

As we await a response from Putin, its worth quoting from a previous post regarding the current Russian-Turkish crisis:

On the 3rd of August, it was reported that Putin had threatened Turkeys president and this is what he allegedly said:

“Tell your dictator President he can go to hell along with his ISIS terrorists, I will make Syria a ‘Big Stalingrad for him!”

The source (Moscow Times) was questionable and so when we first published this, the prospect of Russian intervening in Syria was met with skepticism.

However, within a month of this article being published, Putin surprised the world and moved his military into Syria.

On September the 24th, the same source reported that Putin had given another message to the Turkish President, this time, a more direct one:

“If necessary we can stage a swift military coup against you, unless you desist from your desperate acts of supporting the violent Al-Qaeda terrorists.”

And then yesterday happened.

No one knows yet how Putin will choose to respond, but we don’t need to look further past the Chechen war, or the recent bombing of Raqqa (due to the Sinai bombing of the Russian airliner) to know that Putin has a history of heavy-handed responses.

It wouldn’t be too hard for Russia to invade Turkey – Even the US military is worried about Russia’s military capability.


Putin says there will be “Serious Consequences” as a second Russian aircraft is destroyed in Syria.

So far the shooting down of the Russian warplane in Syria by Turkey is headlines around the world so there is little point us adding to the noise on the blog in detail at this point.

The world is awaiting Putin’s response.

Suffice to say, a running coverage of the news can be seen on our Facebook page:

Here are some of the main points of the conflict so far:

Rebels shoot a Russian recovery helicopter

As soon as the Russian warplane was shot down, Russian helicopters moved into the hostile territory to try and recover the pilots. One of the helicopters was destroyed by US backed rebels. (Note: the page may need to be refreshed for the video to load)

Putins Response:

Putin responded by saying that Turkey have “stabbed Russia in the back” and there will be “serious consequences for Turkey”

CNN reconstruction:

Live Coverage by Sky News:

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Turkey shot down drone which violated its airspace

Update from REUTERS:

Turkish warplanes shot down an unidentified drone in Turkish air space near Syria on Friday and a U.S. official said Washington believed it was of Russian origin.

The Russian defense ministry said all of its planes in Syria had safely returned to base and that all its drones were operating “as planned”.

The downing of the drone highlights the risks to NATO member Turkey as Syrian, Russian and U.S. coalition aircraft fly combat missions so close to its borders.

The Turkish military said its jets had shot down the aircraft after it continued on its trajectory despite three warnings, in line with its rules of engagement. Broadcaster NTV said it had come 3 km (1.9 miles) into Turkish air space.

“It’s a drone. We are trying to identify its nationality,” a senior Turkish government official told Reuters.

A U.S. official told Reuters that Washington suspected it was a Russian drone, but said the information was still preliminary and declined to give any more details.

Russian jets violated Turkish air space on two occasions earlier this month and Turkey has warned it will respond if the incursions are repeated.

Russia’s air strikes in Syria mean that Russian and NATO planes are now flying combat missions in the same air space for the first time since World War Two, heightening concern that the Cold War enemies could fire on each other.

The Russian air force officially informed the Turkish military on Thursday about the violations by Russian jets earlier this month, and about steps it would take to prevent a repetition.

Turkey has also reported unidentified aircraft and Syria-based missile air defense systems harassing its warplanes several times in recent months.

Further Reading: