‘All eyes on Moscow’ – Russian-Turkish suspense is palpable

DebkaFile Reports:

Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan clearly took a calculated risk when he ordered a two hour cross-border artillery bombardment Saturday, Feb. 13 of Syrian army forces positioned around the northern Syrian town of Azaz and the Kurdish YPG militia units which two days earlier took control of the former Syrian military air base of Minagh some six kilometers from the Turkish border.

Kurdish troops backed by the Russian air force seized that base last week from rebel militias as part of the operation for cutting the rebel groups under siege in Aleppo from their supply routes. The Turkish bombardment was therefore an indirect attack on the Russian forces backing pro-Assad forces against the rebels in the Syria war.

Erdogan knows that Moscow hasn’t finished settling accounts with Turkey for the shooting down of a Russian Su-24 on Nov. 24 and is spoiling for more punishment. After that incident, the Russians deployed top-of-line S-400 ground-to-air missile batteries and advanced Sukhoi Su-35 warplanes to their base in Latakia near the Turkish border. Ankara therefore limited its strike to a two-hour artillery bombardment from Turkish soil, reasoning that a Turkish warplane anywhere near the Syrian border would be shot down instantly.

Emboldened by the delay in the Russian response, the Turks took another step: Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu threatened the Kurdish YPG militia with more attacks if they failed to withdraw from the Menagh air base.

Although the Turkish prime minister had called on “allies and supporters” to back the operation against the Russian-backed  Syrian Kurds, Washington took the opposite line by urging Turkey, a fellow member of NATO, to desist from any further attacks.

Washington’s concern is obvious. An outright clash between Turkey and Russia would entitle Ankara to invoke the NATO charter and demand allied protection for a member state under attack.

The Obama administration would have had to spurn this appeal for three reasons:

  1. To avoid getting mixed up in a military clash between two countries, just as the US kept its powder dry in the Russian-Ukraine confrontation after Moscow’s annexation of the Crimean Peninsula in February 2014.
  2. To avoid upsetting the secret Obama-Putin deal on the allocation of spheres of influence in Syria: the Americans have taken the regions east of the Euphrates River, and the Russians, the west.
    The Kurdish YPG militia forces near Aleppo and the city itself come under the Russian area of influence.
  3. Regional tensions were tightened another notch Saturday by Russian comments: Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev said that his country and the West have “slid into a new Cold War period,” and Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said a third World War is actually underway -“I call this struggle a third World War by other means.,” he said.

Washington will avoid any action that risks further stoking this high state of international tension, but will act instead to de-escalate the cross-border Turkish-Russian confrontation over Syria.

All eyes are now on Moscow, much depends on Russia’s response to the artillery bombardment of its Syrian and Kurdish allies. It is up to Putin to decide when and how to strike back – if at all.

3 Similarities between Putin & the Gogian autocracy

Little is known about the man who was catapulted from obscurity into the seat of power.

Is Putin the man who will lead the Gogian force of Ezekiel 38?

I just finished reading a book by investigative journalist Masha Gressen entitled “The man without a face”.

In her book, Gressen explores the not so well known side of Putin and makes some observations about him which strike me as being very similar to the characteristics we might expect from the latter day Gog.

1. Putins ‘kleptomania’.

When reading about Gogs invasion in Ezekiel 38, one element stands out to me; Gogs desire to ‘take a spoil’.

Putin also, is infamous for taking what doesn’t belong to him.

Gessen dedicates a whole chapter to cover extensively what she calls “Putins Greed”. In this chapter, she documents Putins brazen history of becoming fixated on taking possession of personal items and corporate assets that belonged to other individuals and companies.

One notable example is was when Putin shutdown Russia’s largest privately owned oil & gas firm, Yukos, and salvaged its assets.

Here is a small collection of extracts taken from Gressen’s book showing Putin’s reoccurring urge to steal:

Putin hosting businessmen in St. Petersburg:

On several occasions, at least one of them embarrassingly public, Putin has acted like a person afflicted with Kleptomania.

In June 2005, while hosting a group of American businessmen in St. Petersburg, Putin pocketed the 124-diamond Super Bowl ring of New England Patriots owner Robert Kraft.

He had asked to see it, tried it on, allegedly said, “I could kill someone with this”, then stuck it in his pocket and left the room abruptly.

Putin hosted as a special guest in New York:

In September 2005, Putin was a special guest at New Yorks Solomon R Guggenheim museum. At one point his hosts brought out a conversation piece that another Russian guest must have given the museum: a glass replica of a Kalashnikov automatic weapon filled with vodka.

Putin nodded to one of his bodyguards, who took the glass Kalashnikov and carried it out of the room, leaving the hosts speechless.

Gressen’s assessment of Putin’s ‘Kleptomania’

The correct term is probably not the popularly known kleptomania, which refers to a pathological desire to possess things for which one has little use, but the more exotic pleonexia, the insatiable desire to have what rightfully belongs to others.

If Putin suffers this irrepressible urge, this helps explain his apparent split personality: he compensates for his compulsion by creating the identity of an honest and incorruptible civil servant.

 Putin’s destruction & salvaging of Yukos:

It has been a year since Khodorvsky’s arrest, and it was now clear that Russia had passed two milestones. With the country’s former richest man behind bars indefinitely, no one, not even the rich and powerful, could afford free agency.

With the assets of the country’s largest and private company hijacked in broad daylight, Putin had claimed his place as the god father of a mafia clan ruling the country…. like all mafia bosses he amassed wealth by outright robberies such as with Yukos, by collecting the so called dues and by placing his cronies wherever there was money or assets to be siphoned off.


2. Putin has studied how to take the spoil.

It is worth noting that Gog takes a spoil specifically from two nations:

  • Israel (Ezek 38:12)
  • Egypt (Dan 11: 42-43)

Israel and Egypt aren’t the only nations that Russia will invade, Turkey will also be invaded. Why then doesn’t Gog take a spoil from Turkey?

Here is the suggestion: Both Israel & Egypt recently discovered unprecedented amounts of lucrative gas in the Mediterranean.

Both of these finds will be very disruptive to Russia’s control of the gas market.

The fact that both Egypt and Israel have now discovered what could be easily considered a ‘spoil’ from a geopolitical perspective makes this year distinct from past generations: The scene of the invasion of Israel in Daniel 11 & Ezekiel 38, is now set.

What is Putins take on all this? Well a few weeks back he called the Israeli PM and offered to guard Israel’s oil and gas assets.

But if we go back further and have a look at Putins past, Gressen shows that Putin actually completed his PHD on the subject of exploitation of natural resources.

His PHD was entitled: ‘Natural resources and the development strategy for the Russian Economy’.

Putin used the time to write and defend a dissertation, a goal he had set for himself when he went to work at Leningrad University seven years earlier.

The dissertation, oddly, was not on international law, as he had originally planned, but on economics of natural resources

So the idea of resource exploitation is well and truly entrenched in Putins mind, AND as Gressen points out, he seems to have some form of kleptomania. Not a good mix.

But that’s not all.


3. Putins overpowering violence

The third element of the Gogian invasion of Israel is the manner in which the invasion takes place.

It is fast and overpowering, Ezek 38:9 says “like a storm”.

Daniel 11 says: “he shall go forth with great fury to destroy, and utterly to make away many”.

Gressen recounts many stories of Putin that are on the public record showing Putin’s intrinsic tendency to impulsively dish out overpowering violence.

In one such story, Gressen describes Putins childhood:

“Thugs all. Unwashed, unshaven guys with cigarettes and bottles of cheap wine. Constant drinking, cursing, fistfights. And there was Putin in the middle of all this…When we were older, we would see the thugs from his courtyard, and they had drunk themselves ino the ground, they were hitting rock bottom. Many of them had been to jail”

Putin, younger than the thugs and slight of build, tried to hold his own with them. “If anyone ever insulted him in any way,” his friend recalled, “Vladmir would immediately jump on the guy, scratch him, bite him, rip his hair out by the clump – do anything to humiliate him in any way…

he would flare up and start expressing his outrage. He did this several times over”

Gressen notes that Putin likes to cultivate an image worthy of fear:

it is notable that Putin painted himself as consistently rash, physically violent man with a barely containable temper.

Gressen then goes on to show that his overpowering violence and impulsive temper which manifested through the tentacles of the KGB/FSB, resurrected vertical power enabling him to effectively head a security state much like Hitlers Nazi SS.

Is this the same barely containable temper that will “go forth with great fury to destroy, and utterly to make away many”? (Daniel 11:44)


Three observations from Gressens book:

  1. Putins has a tendancy to steal / “kleptomania”, as Gressen puts it.
  2. Putin is well educated in and a strong proponent for the exploitation of natural resources for Russias economy.
  3. Putins has a record of calculated and overpowering violence.

Dubbed by Forbes the most powerful man in the world, Putin seems to perfectly embody a latter day Nimrod.

There are many other characteristics which define Putin, which when put together seem to all add up to a perfect storm.

Is Putin Gog? We simply dont know, however, with the way the world is headed, and if God wills, we might find out sooner than later.

The Building of Russias “Image Empire”

What a week it has been!

Russian intervention in Syria has accelerated:

“Vladimir Putin is carrying out Russias biggest military intervention outside of the old Soviet Union for almost 30 years”
~ Telegraph (22nd September 2015)

Here is a list of news articles that were published this week:

1. The building up of Russia’s “Image Empire”.

Yesterday, a US army general accused Putin of trying to re-establish the Russian Empire.

“When Russia makes its grand move for the building up of its Image-empire, then let the reader know that the end of all things, as at present constituted, is at hand” – Elpis Israel

2. Time Magazine Front Cover: “The New Roman Empire”.

Front cover of the September edition of the Time Magazine has a photo of Pope Francis next to the words “The New Roman Empire”.

What is so significant about this? The Prophet Daniel talks of the latter day revival of the Roman Empire. It will be an empire made of the Russians (the civil and military administration based in Constantinople) and the Roman Catholics (Religious administration based in Rome).

What will bring these administrations together? We might find out soon. Two powerful people will be making a rare appearance at the United Nations summit on post 2015 world governance in the next few days: Putin (first time attendance in 10 years) and the Pope.

Read the article here: http://time.com/4038077/the-new-roman-empire/

3. Syrian insurgents fire on the Russian military base.

4. Russia building two more military bases in Syria.

5. The Israeli PM takes his top brass to Moscow.

Israel is visibly concerned about Russia’s presence and the possibility of a mistake happening. What Israel probably doesnt realize is that the Elohim will be working hard to avoid a crisis until the time is right.

Stratfor releases satellite images of Russian military in Syria

Russian expansion in Syria is taking place quickly.

Satellite images taken by Stratfor and published by Reuters show a build up of tanks, helicopters and other heavy weapons. It is estimated now that there is already 500 troops on the revamped air base.

Sources including Debkafile show that Russian troops are also actively fighting in Syria.

Turkey is becoming a logistical pain for Putin:

The increasing Russian military presence in Syria is not considered to be an invasion but once Russian casualties begin to mount its hard not to imagine Putin getting sucked into the vortex of the Middle East.

What is particularly obvious is that Russia is setting up infrastructure for quick access into the middle east through the development of a Syrian airbase.

However while the airbase is expanding its troop numbers via cargo flights, Russia is not allowed to fly through Turkey or Greece and therefore must take a very uneconomical route through Iran & Iraq.

image
Interesting to note that Turkey is a logistical thorn in Putins side at the moment as Russia continues to expand in Syria. Pro US Turkey and Greece won’t allow Russia to use their airspace – wonder how long this will last for. Source: Business Insider.

Furthermore all Russian naval cargo is coming through the Bosphorus which is a channel controlled by Turkey. It was recently reported that Turkey threatened to blockade the Bosporus to Russian ships. Imagine if they tried to do that anytime soon!


New Satellite Images of Russias Forward Air Base in Syria

Syria-Latakia-Airbase-First-Panel
Latakia airfield in Syria has been built up to accommodate Russian Forces. Satellite images show a build up over the past two weeks. Source: Reuters / Stratfor

Syria-Latakia-Airbase-Fourth-Panel
Russia fortifies the Syrian airfield. Source: Reuters / Stratfor

Syria-Latakia-Airbase-Second-Panel
A battalion-sized Russian contingent now appears to be located at the base, along with advanced T-90 Tanks, artillery and attack helicopter support. Source: Reuters / Stratfor

Recent News:

  • We are tracking Russian expansion in Syria as it happens here
  • Putin offered to guard Israeli oil & gas assets here
  • Egypt discovers what is likely to be the biggest gas field in the world here

The Russian military buildup continues in Syria

Status Report:

  • 15 Russian Antonov-124 flights have unloaded cargo
  • 7 Advanced Russian tanks
  • 15 fresh artillery pieces
  • 35 armored personnel carriers
  • Housing for up to 1500 troops
  • Advanced anti-aircraft missile system

To see the latest on this click here.

“Russia is not concerned for ISIS or Syria”

Business Insider Reports:

“Moscow will reportedly provide Russian troops in Syria with an advanced anti-aircraft missile system as part of its military support for Syrian president Bashar Assad.

“This system is the advanced version used by Russia and it’s meant to be operated by Russians in Syria,” a Western diplomat who is regularly briefed on U.S., Israeli and other intelligence assessments told Reuters.

And as The Daily Beast’s Michael Weiss points out any anti-aircraft missiles deployed by Russian troops in Syria won’t be directed at ISIS, since ISIS has no air force.

In fact, none of the rebels do — only government forces have access to aircraft.

Russia has substantially increased its military presence in Syria over the past two weeks under the guise of helping the embattled al-Assad fight ISIS and other extremists.

US Airforce cites ‘alarming strides’ in Russian air-power.

Reuters reports:

A U.S. Air Force general on Monday cited what he called “alarming” moves by the Russian military to beef up its air forces in the years since the invasion of Georgia in 2008 and to establish firm defenses around areas like Crimea.

General Frank Gorenc, commander of U.S. Air Forces in Europe, told reporters he was concerned about Russia’s moves to increase the quantity and quality of its aircraft and field unmanned aircraft.

“The advantage that we had from the air, I can honestly say, is shrinking,” Gorenc said at the annual Air Force Association conference.

Russia launches massive military drills at home involving 90,000 troops.

Yahoo Reports:

Russia on Monday launched its largest military exercises of the year, Centre-2015, involving some 95,000 soldiers including ground troops, navy and airforce units.

The long-announced war games are “the most large-scale drill of 2015,” the defence ministry said.

Russia has recently intensified snap checks of its military might, testing its capabilities from the Arctic to the Far East as relations with the West have plunged to a post-Cold War low over the Ukraine crisis.


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